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Time series analysis - I

Generate series of times

import pandas as pd
import numpy as np
rng = pd.date_range('2016 Jul 15 10:15', periods = 10, freq = '2Y')
type(rng)
pandas.core.indexes.datetimes.DatetimeIndex

date_range creates a series of times. It is an object of type DateTimeIndex.

The individual elements are of type Timestamp. In general, an array containing elements of type Timestamp is of type DateTimeIndex.

Timestamp –> DateTimeIndex.

periods sets the length of the array i.e. the number of datetime objects created.

The parameter freq determines what is changed to get a new date.

  • The default is to increment the date
  • If freq = Y, year is incremented to create a new date
  • If freq = M, month is incremented to create a new date
  • freq= D, H, T, S increment day, hour, minute, and second respectively
  • freq = M increments month with date set to last day of the month. The start date is changed to last day of the month
  • freq = B increments days but considers only business days
  • freq = MS increments month with date set to last day of the month
  • freq = 2D increments day by 2. Similarly for Y, M, H, T, and S
  • For a complete list of frequency strings, please refer to offset aliases.

date_range can generate date_time objects by taking start and end dates.

Suppose that a nurse needs to record the temperature of a patient every 8 hours between the dates July 3 and July 17. How many readings does she take in total?

rng = pd.date_range(start='2020 Jul 15 10:15', end='2020 Jul 25', freq='8H', normalize=True)
rng
DatetimeIndex(['2020-07-15 00:00:00', '2020-07-15 08:00:00',
               '2020-07-15 16:00:00', '2020-07-16 00:00:00',
               '2020-07-16 08:00:00', '2020-07-16 16:00:00',
               '2020-07-17 00:00:00', '2020-07-17 08:00:00',
               '2020-07-17 16:00:00', '2020-07-18 00:00:00',
               '2020-07-18 08:00:00', '2020-07-18 16:00:00',
               '2020-07-19 00:00:00', '2020-07-19 08:00:00',
               '2020-07-19 16:00:00', '2020-07-20 00:00:00',
               '2020-07-20 08:00:00', '2020-07-20 16:00:00',
               '2020-07-21 00:00:00', '2020-07-21 08:00:00',
               '2020-07-21 16:00:00', '2020-07-22 00:00:00',
               '2020-07-22 08:00:00', '2020-07-22 16:00:00',
               '2020-07-23 00:00:00', '2020-07-23 08:00:00',
               '2020-07-23 16:00:00', '2020-07-24 00:00:00',
               '2020-07-24 08:00:00', '2020-07-24 16:00:00',
               '2020-07-25 00:00:00'],
              dtype='datetime64[ns]', freq='8H')

If the start time is not specified, then the 00:00:00 is taken as the default time.

If normalize=True, then time is reset to 00:00:000. In the example above, start time is reset.

Refer to date_range documentation for setting complecated frequencies.

Timestamp

It is Pandas replacement for Python datetime.datetime object.

Timestamp objects are interchangeable with datetime.datetime objects, in most cases.

second can be a decimal with 9 digit accuracy. e.g 59.128769634 is a valid value for second

Refer to documentation for a list of attributes.

pd.Timestamp('2019-04-20 3:41:59.128769634')
t = pd.Timestamp.now()
type(t)
pandas._libs.tslibs.timestamps.Timestamp

Time offsets

pd.Timedelta('10 day 1H 10T 1S 1 us') # us - microsecond
Timedelta('10 days 01:10:01.000001')

A Timedelta object can be added to a Timestamp object resulting in a Timestamp object.

pd.Timestamp('2016-07-01 8:00') + pd.Timedelta('1.5 hours')
Timestamp('2016-07-01 09:30:00')
rng + pd.Timedelta('1 day')
DatetimeIndex(['2020-07-16 00:00:00', '2020-07-16 08:00:00',
               '2020-07-16 16:00:00', '2020-07-17 00:00:00',
               '2020-07-17 08:00:00', '2020-07-17 16:00:00',
               '2020-07-18 00:00:00', '2020-07-18 08:00:00',
               '2020-07-18 16:00:00', '2020-07-19 00:00:00',
               '2020-07-19 08:00:00', '2020-07-19 16:00:00',
               '2020-07-20 00:00:00', '2020-07-20 08:00:00',
               '2020-07-20 16:00:00', '2020-07-21 00:00:00',
               '2020-07-21 08:00:00', '2020-07-21 16:00:00',
               '2020-07-22 00:00:00', '2020-07-22 08:00:00',
               '2020-07-22 16:00:00', '2020-07-23 00:00:00',
               '2020-07-23 08:00:00', '2020-07-23 16:00:00',
               '2020-07-24 00:00:00', '2020-07-24 08:00:00',
               '2020-07-24 16:00:00', '2020-07-25 00:00:00',
               '2020-07-25 08:00:00', '2020-07-25 16:00:00',
               '2020-07-26 00:00:00'],
              dtype='datetime64[ns]', freq='8H')

Time spans

In real life, we deal more with periods of time rather than instances of time. For example, air traffic controllers want to know how many aircrafts land and takeoff between 6 and 9 am on different days of the week. They may not be so much interested in knowing how many aircrafts are taking off and landing at a particular instant. For such requirements, Timestamp objects are not useful because they represent instances of time, but not periods of time.

What we need is a Period object. As shown below, each Period object has a start_time and an end_time. Since start_time and end_time are instants of time (not durations), they are of type Timestamp.

Note that the Period object can represent different time spans like month, day etc. Also notice how start and end times are taken care of automatically.

p1 = pd.Period('7/2020') # Represents a month
p2 = pd.Period('7/21/2020') # Represents a day

print(p1.start_time)
print(p1.end_time)

print(p2.start_time)
print(p2.end_time)
2020-07-01 00:00:00
2020-07-31 23:59:59.999999999
2020-07-21 00:00:00
2020-07-21 23:59:59.999999999

Since Period objects represent a duration, as opposed to a specific instant, they can be used to check if a particular instant lies with in a duration.

As an example, let’s check if a particualr day lies in the month of July in 2020.

p3 = pd.Timestamp('7/21/2020') # This is an instant of time, not a duration
p1.start_time < p3 < p1.end_time
True

period_range creates an object of type PeriodIndex. This object contains multiple date time objects of type Period.

Date-time series generated by date_range represent instances.

Date-time series generated by period_range represent durations.

p4 = pd.period_range('2020 Apr 20 3:55 pm', freq='H', periods=10)
#print(p4)
type(p4)
print(type(p4[0]))
<class 'pandas._libs.tslibs.period.Period'>

In the example above, we are generating 10 period objects starting from the time given. Note that the time has been rolled back to 3 pm from 3:55 pm. This happens because we have set freq='H'. In general, when freq='H', time is reset to the beginning of the hour.

To retain the time we have given, we have to set freq='60T'.

p4 is an object of type PeriodIndex, while the individual elements are of type Period.

In general, an array of objects of type Period is of type PeriodIndex.

Period –> PeriodIndex

Indexing a time series with a date_range

num_periods = 40

ts_dt = pd.Series(range(num_periods), pd.date_range('2016 Jul 15 10:15', periods = num_periods, freq = '60T'))
#print(ts_dt.head())
#print(ts_dt.index)
print(type(ts_dt))
print(type(ts_dt.index))
print(type(ts_dt.index[0]))
2016-07-15 10:15:00    0
2016-07-15 11:15:00    1
2016-07-15 12:15:00    2
2016-07-15 13:15:00    3
2016-07-15 14:15:00    4
Freq: 60T, dtype: int64
<class 'pandas.core.series.Series'>
<class 'pandas.core.indexes.datetimes.DatetimeIndex'>
<class 'pandas._libs.tslibs.timestamps.Timestamp'>

ts_dt is an object of type Series - a generic data structure in Pandas

ts_dt.index is an object of type DateTimeIndex

The individual elements in ts_dt.index are of type Timestamp

The inividual elements of the series are of type Timestamp, but the series is of type DateTimeIndex.

Converting between DateTimeIndex and PeriodIndex

DateTimeIndex: The individual elements of the time series are of type Timestamp. They represent specific instances.

PeriodIndex: The individual elements are of type Period. They represent time spans (durations).

Timestamp –> DateTimeIndex

Period –> PeriodIndex

It is possible to convert from one type of indexing to another.

ts_pd = ts_dt.to_period(freq='60T') # Frequency parameter must be mentioned
ts_pd.head()

#ts_pd = ts_pd.to_timestamp()
2016-07-15 10:15    0
2016-07-15 11:15    1
2016-07-15 12:15    2
2016-07-15 13:15    3
2016-07-15 14:15    4
Freq: 60T, dtype: int64

String indexing

We can search a time series using strings as indices.

ts_dt['2016-07-15 10'] #ts_dt is datetime indexed
2016-07-15 10:15:00    0
Freq: 60T, dtype: int64
ts_pd['2016-07-15 10'] # ts_pd is period indexed
2016-07-15 10:15    0
2016-07-15 11:15    1
Freq: 60T, dtype: int64

Period indexing gives out more results. This is because of overlapping (God knows what it is).

#ts_pd['2016-07-15':'2016-07-16'] # picking up entries for a range of dates
ts_pd['2016-07-15':] # Everything on after July 15
#ts_pd['start':'end']
2016-07-15 10:15     0
2016-07-15 11:15     1
2016-07-15 12:15     2
2016-07-15 13:15     3
2016-07-15 14:15     4
2016-07-15 15:15     5
2016-07-15 16:15     6
2016-07-15 17:15     7
2016-07-15 18:15     8
2016-07-15 19:15     9
2016-07-15 20:15    10
2016-07-15 21:15    11
2016-07-15 22:15    12
2016-07-15 23:15    13
2016-07-16 00:15    14
2016-07-16 01:15    15
2016-07-16 02:15    16
2016-07-16 03:15    17
2016-07-16 04:15    18
2016-07-16 05:15    19
2016-07-16 06:15    20
2016-07-16 07:15    21
2016-07-16 08:15    22
2016-07-16 09:15    23
2016-07-16 10:15    24
2016-07-16 11:15    25
2016-07-16 12:15    26
2016-07-16 13:15    27
2016-07-16 14:15    28
2016-07-16 15:15    29
2016-07-16 16:15    30
2016-07-16 17:15    31
2016-07-16 18:15    32
2016-07-16 19:15    33
2016-07-16 20:15    34
2016-07-16 21:15    35
2016-07-16 22:15    36
2016-07-16 23:15    37
2016-07-17 00:15    38
2016-07-17 01:15    39
Freq: 60T, dtype: int64

Creating a Timestamp object from a date formatted in European style

eu_date = pd.to_datetime('4/3/2020', dayfirst=True)
print(eu_date)
2020-03-04 00:00:00

Generating a string representation in a desired format from a Timestamp object

eu_date.strftime(format = '%m-%Y-%d') # Returns a string in month-year-day format
'03-2020-04'

Valid date time formats

‘2020 Apr 02’, ‘4/2/2020’, ‘2/4/2020’, ‘2020-04-02’. In cases like ‘4/2/2020’, it is assumed that the first number (4) corresponds to month. Therefore, ‘4/2/2020’ and ‘2/4/2020’ represent two different dates.

Reference

Time series analysis tutorial by Aileen Nielsen. YouTube video here.